DAKT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DAKT - Daktronics Inc
$19.55
0.44 (2.30%)
▲
5d:
-9.45%
30d:
-26.42%
90d:
+2.57%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 10, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
DAKT is down 18.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $20 2026-04-17 with 84 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DAKT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DAKT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.28
Based on 13.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.87
27.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DAKT is currently trading at $19.55, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.63 to $25.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.1) compared to its historical average (19.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 57.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAKT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.97. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DAKT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.00 (+68.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAKT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.97. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DAKT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.00 (+68.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$19.63 -
$25.30
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
30th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DAKT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 30th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 68.8% below Wall St target ($33.00)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-9.4%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$19.63 -
$25.30
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.51
(12.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.97
Resistance Level
$21.87
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.09
Wall Street Target
$33.00
(+68.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
57.1%
Profit Margin
3.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.1 vs 19.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.44
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$17.38
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$16.39
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→19)
$19.56
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 22.7%)
$50.20
(+157%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.1, Growth: 22.7%)
$36.14
(+85%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 22.7%)
$30.72
(+57%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.55
Bull Case
$44.35
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 40.3
Base Case
$40.32
(+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 36.7
Bear Case
$13.71
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.1 to 19.2
Stabilization Target:
$23.33
(+19.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 9:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DAKT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced DAKT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DAKT price and gamma walls.
