DAR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DAR - DARLING INGREDIENTS INC.
$45.66
-0.24 (-0.52%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: DAR is 7.1% above fair value ($42.65). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: DAR is 7.1% above fair value ($42.65). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$70.67
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$43.88
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DAR is currently trading at $45.66, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.19 to $42.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.0) compared to its historical average (15.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.85, while resistance sits at $47.26.
Market Sentiment: DAR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.85, while resistance sits at $47.26.
Market Sentiment: DAR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$36.19 -
$42.65
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.4%
Protect Your Profits
DAR is technically overbought (RSI 78). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.1% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($48.08)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 8.1% growth which is achievable
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$36.19 -
$42.65
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.85
Resistance Level
$47.26
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.97
Wall Street Target
$48.08
(+4.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.7%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.1% premium
PE vs Historical
19.0 vs 15.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.62
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$53.64
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$57.98
(+26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$45.84
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 493.2%)
$182.08
(+297%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: 493.2%)
$154.91
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.0, Growth: 493.2%)
$122.47
(+167%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 13.24 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.47
Bull Case
$55.42
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 13.9
Base Case
$45.90
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 13.2
Bear Case
$35.11
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 11.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Randall C Stuewe
SELL
35000 shares
2025-08-18
Randall C Stuewe
SELL
27500 shares
2025-08-15
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Advanced DAR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DAR price and gamma walls.
