DAR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DAR - DARLING INGREDIENTS INC.
$60.88
1.60 (2.70%)
▲
5d:
+7.83%
30d:
+14.52%
90d:
+69.25%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DAR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DAR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$110.18
Based on 13.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.41
11.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DAR is currently trading at $60.88, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.06 to $56.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.1) is in line with its historical norms (15.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $59.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DAR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $59.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DAR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$52.06 -
$56.92
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.0% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($62.77)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$52.06 -
$56.92
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$54.16
Resistance Level
$59.75
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.11
Wall Street Target
$62.77
(+5.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.6%
Profit Margin
1.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.1 vs 15.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.92
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$58.57
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$58.22
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
$59.33
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 21.9%)
$159.26
(+169%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: 21.9%)
$107.45
(+81%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: 21.9%)
$91.33
(+54%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 17.12 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.30
Bull Case
$68.18
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 18.0
Base Case
$56.46
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.1
Bear Case
$43.19
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.1 to 15.4
Stabilization Target:
$60.41
(+1.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 9:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Randall C Stuewe
SELL
20000 shares
2026-03-06
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