DAVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DAVA - Endava plc American Depositary Shares (each representing one Class A Ordinary Share)
$3.84
0.22 (6.08%)
▲
5d:
-7.02%
30d:
-19.33%
90d:
-24.71%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DAVA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DAVA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.75
Based on 11.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.43
29.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DAVA is currently trading at $3.84, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.12 to $4.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.0) compared to its historical average (5.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAVA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.61, while resistance sits at $4.25. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: DAVA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.46 (+120.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAVA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.61, while resistance sits at $4.25. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: DAVA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.46 (+120.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$4.12 -
$4.63
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 120.4% below Wall St target ($8.46)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.0% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.12 -
$4.63
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.61
Resistance Level
$4.25
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.95
Wall Street Target
$8.46
(+120.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-21.4%
Profit Margin
-0.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.0 vs 5.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.50
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$3.19
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$2.90
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→5)
$3.82
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 19.5%)
$36.60
(+853%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.0, Growth: 19.5%)
$6.55
(+71%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.4, Growth: 19.5%)
$5.57
(+45%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.0 to 5.2
Stabilization Target:
$5.05
(+31.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 5:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DAVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ben Druskin
SELL
486 shares
2026-04-01
David Alexander Pattillo
SELL
538 shares
2026-04-01
Kathryn A Hollister
SELL
264 shares
2026-04-01
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