DAVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DAVA - Endava plc American Depositary Shares (each representing one Class A Ordinary Share)

Services-Computer Programming Services
$3.78
0.16 (4.42%) ▲
5d: -8.47%
30d: -20.59%
90d: -25.88%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DAVA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.75
Based on 11.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.43
30.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DAVA is currently trading at $3.78, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.12 to $4.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.7) compared to its historical average (5.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DAVA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.61, while resistance sits at $4.25. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.

Market Sentiment: DAVA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.56 (+136.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $4.12 - $4.63
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 61.9%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.4%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 136.5% below Wall St target ($8.56)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.5% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $4.12 - $4.63
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.61
Resistance Level $4.25
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 3.73
Wall Street Target $8.56 (+136.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -21.4%
Profit Margin -0.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -10.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 3.7 vs 5.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -10.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $3.26 (-10%)
2-Year Target $2.93 (-19%)
3-Year Target $2.64 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 4→5) $3.68 (+2%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.0, Growth: 19.5%) $36.55 (+910%)
Base: (SPY PE: 3.7, Growth: 19.5%) $6.18 (+71%)
Bear: (PE: 3.2, Growth: 19.5%) $5.25 (+45%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.7 to 5.2
Stabilization Target: $5.05 (+39.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +39.6%
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 1:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:51 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ben Druskin SELL 486 shares 2026-04-01
David Alexander Pattillo SELL 538 shares 2026-04-01
Kathryn A Hollister SELL 264 shares 2026-04-01

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