DBRG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DBRG - DigitalBridge Group, Inc.

INVESTMENT ADVICE
$15.38
0.00 (0.00%) ▲
5d: +0.2%
30d: -0.19%
90d: +12.84%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your DBRG Gains
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DBRG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.17
19.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DBRG is currently trading at $15.38, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.36 to $15.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 24.2) compared to its historical average (30.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DBRG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: DBRG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $15.36 - $15.42
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 45.2%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($16.00)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $15.36 - $15.42
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $15.32
Resistance Level $15.45
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 27, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 24.25
Wall Street Target $16.00 (+4.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -27.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -78.0%
Profit Margin 151.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -6.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 24.3 vs 30.1 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -6.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $14.32 (-7%)
2-Year Target $13.33 (-13%)
3-Year Target $12.41 (-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 24→30) $15.41 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 24.2, Growth: 82.7%) $51.91 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 82.7%) $47.95 (+212%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 82.7%) $40.76 (+165%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.48
Bull Case $22.31 (+45%)
Analyst growth 32.1%, PE expands to 35.2
Base Case $20.28 (+32%)
Market implied 32.1%, PE stable at 32.0
Bear Case $10.44 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.2 to 30.1
Stabilization Target: $19.09 (+24.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +24.1%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 8:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:55 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced DBRG Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DBRG price and gamma walls.

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