DBRG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DBRG - DigitalBridge Group, Inc.

INVESTMENT ADVICE
$15.39
-0.02 (-0.13%) β–Ό
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026 19d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ’‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: DBRG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% decline. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.69
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.33
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DBRG is currently trading at $15.39, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.38 to $15.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 30.4) is in line with its historical norms (33.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DBRG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $14.38 - $15.77
Company Quality Score 60/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 67.6%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($16.00)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $14.38 - $15.77
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $15.32
Resistance Level $15.50
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 30.39
Wall Street Target $16.00 (+3.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -95.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -78.0%
Profit Margin 71.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 30.4 vs 33.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $14.89 (-3%)
2-Year Target $14.38 (-7%)
3-Year Target $13.89 (-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 30β†’34) $15.40 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 30.4, Growth: 69.4%) $52.01 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 69.4%) $38.17 (+148%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 69.4%) $32.44 (+111%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 9.16 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.68
Bull Case $18.61 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 9.6
Base Case $15.41 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 9.2
Bear Case $11.79 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 30.4 to 33.7
Stabilization Target: $17.09 (+10.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +10.9%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:35 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced DBRG Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DBRG price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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