DEC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DEC - Diversified Energy Company plc
$13.39
0.25 (1.90%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 16, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DEC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DEC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.95
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.73
20.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DEC is currently trading at $13.39, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.79 to $14.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.4) is in line with its historical norms (4.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DEC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.42. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.83 (+58.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DEC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.42. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.83 (+58.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$12.79 -
$14.25
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 58.5% below Wall St target ($20.83)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$12.79 -
$14.25
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.35
Resistance Level
$13.42
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.37
Wall Street Target
$20.83
(+58.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
111.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-97.6%
Profit Margin
-12.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.4 vs 4.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.92
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$12.70
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$12.48
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→5)
$13.14
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 88.0%)
$226.41
(+1623%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.4, Growth: 88.0%)
$44.35
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.7, Growth: 88.0%)
$37.70
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.4 to 4.6
Stabilization Target:
$13.84
(+5.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.3%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:00 AM
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Advanced DEC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DEC price and gamma walls.
