DOV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DOV - Dover Corporation
$211.66
4.34 (2.09%)
▲
5d:
+2.12%
30d:
+8.13%
90d:
+16.64%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 3, 2026
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DOV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DOV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$288.14
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$178.91
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DOV is currently trading at $211.66, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $199.44 to $207.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.4) is in line with its historical norms (18.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DOV is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $211.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DOV is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $211.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$199.44 -
$207.60
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DOV? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($224.70)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$199.44 -
$207.60
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$197.97
Resistance Level
$211.88
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.45
Wall Street Target
$224.70
(+6.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-80.1%
Profit Margin
13.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.5 vs 18.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$211.03
(0%)
2-Year Target
$210.39
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$209.76
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→19)
$211.50
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.4%)
$325.62
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.4, Growth: 8.4%)
$269.37
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.7, Growth: 8.4%)
$228.96
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.96
Bull Case
$328.72
(+55%)
Analyst growth 44.1%, PE expands to 28.7
Base Case
$298.83
(+41%)
Market implied 44.1%, PE stable at 26.1
Bear Case
$140.98
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.4 to 18.6
Stabilization Target:
$213.41
(+0.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.8%
Last updated: February 04, 2026 3:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DOV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Julie Johnson
SELL
2025-08-14
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