DSGR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DSGR - Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. Common Stock
$25.69
-0.33 (-1.27%)
▼
5d:
-0.93%
30d:
-14.08%
90d:
-10.55%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
DSGR is up 35.0% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $25 2026-05-15 with 26 OI. Put ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DSGR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DSGR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.28
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.01
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DSGR is currently trading at $25.69, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.59 to $29.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.5) is in line with its historical norms (16.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DSGR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $24.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DSGR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (5th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.50 (+36.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DSGR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $24.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DSGR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (5th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.50 (+36.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$22.59 -
$29.71
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
5th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 5th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.4% below Wall St target ($35.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$22.59 -
$29.71
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.55
(6.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.96
Resistance Level
$27.50
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.46
Wall Street Target
$35.50
(+36.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-69.7%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.5 vs 16.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.45
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$24.89
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$24.34
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→17)
$25.98
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 11.5%)
$52.24
(+101%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: 11.5%)
$36.05
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 11.5%)
$30.64
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 17.89 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.45
Bull Case
$31.31
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 18.8
Base Case
$25.93
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.9
Bear Case
$19.84
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 16.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.5 to 16.5
Stabilization Target:
$27.77
(+6.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DSGR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Robert Zamarripa
BUY
14000 shares
2026-03-10
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Advanced DSGR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DSGR price and gamma walls.
