DSGR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DSGR - Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. Common Stock
$29.30
0.91 (3.21%)
▲
5d:
+0.76%
30d:
+6.97%
90d:
+5.13%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 05, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DSGR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DSGR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.88
Based on 13.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.46
12.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DSGR is currently trading at $29.30, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.28 to $29.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.7) is in line with its historical norms (16.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DSGR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $27.56, while resistance sits at $30.26. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.50 (+35.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DSGR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $27.56, while resistance sits at $30.26. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.50 (+35.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$28.28 -
$29.78
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 35.6% below Wall St target ($38.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$28.28 -
$29.78
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.77
(9.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.56
Resistance Level
$30.26
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.67
Wall Street Target
$38.50
(+35.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-69.7%
Profit Margin
-0.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.7 vs 16.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.33
(0%)
2-Year Target
$28.28
(0%)
3-Year Target
$28.22
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
$28.44
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 23.4%)
$71.42
(+152%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.7, Growth: 23.4%)
$53.38
(+88%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: 23.4%)
$45.38
(+60%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.7 to 16.8
Stabilization Target:
$28.62
(+0.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.8%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 12:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DSGR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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