DSGX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DSGX - Descartes Systems Group Inc

Services-Prepackaged Software
$72.76
-2.00 (-2.68%) ▼
5d: -12.04%
30d: -17.0%
90d: -18.68%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Mar 04, 2026 28d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: DSGX is down 12.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$94.58
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.73
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DSGX is currently trading at $72.76, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.69 to $88.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 28.3) compared to its historical average (33.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DSGX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $72.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $111.08 (+52.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $79.69 - $88.69
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 50th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 77.7%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 52.7% below Wall St target ($111.08)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $79.69 - $88.69
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$3.63 (5.0%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $72.32
Resistance Level $87.14
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 28.34
Wall Street Target $111.08 (+52.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 19.0%
Profit Margin 22.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 28.3 vs 33.7 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $68.69 (-6%)
2-Year Target $64.84 (-11%)
3-Year Target $61.21 (-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 28→34) $72.79 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 28.3, Growth: 12.2%) $102.87 (+41%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 12.2%) $80.95 (+11%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 12.2%) $68.81 (-5%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.78
Bull Case $118.62 (+63%)
Analyst growth 44.2%, PE expands to 46.2
Base Case $107.83 (+48%)
Market implied 44.2%, PE stable at 42.0
Bear Case $50.84 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 28.3 to 33.7
Stabilization Target: $86.52 (+18.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +18.9%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 6:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:55 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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