DVAX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DVAX - Dynavax Technologies Corporation
$15.50
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
+0.06%
30d:
+0.58%
90d:
+41.04%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Feb 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DVAX is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: DVAX is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.56
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.18
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DVAX is currently trading at $15.50, which is considered fair based on recent price action. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 47.0) compared to its historical average (41.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DVAX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DVAX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+41.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DVAX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DVAX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+41.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
46.2%
Protect Your Profits
DVAX is technically overbought (RSI 75). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: Trading 41.9% below Wall St target ($22.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.46
Resistance Level
$15.59
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Feb 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
46.97
Wall Street Target
$22.00
(+41.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
69.3%
Profit Margin
-13.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.6% premium
PE vs Historical
47.0 vs 41.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.21
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$16.96
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$17.74
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 47→41)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.48
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 12:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:17 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DVAX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David F Novack
SELL
114000 shares
2026-01-15
David F Novack
SELL
30000 shares
2025-12-24
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