DXPE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DXPE - DXP Enterprises Inc
$130.05
0.12 (0.09%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DXPE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DXPE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$214.73
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$133.33
2.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DXPE is currently trading at $130.05, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $110.14 to $126.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.2) compared to its historical average (16.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.7% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DXPE is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $132.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DXPE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DXPE is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $132.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DXPE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$110.14 -
$126.70
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($136.50)
- BEARISH: Market expects 5.7% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$110.14 -
$126.70
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$8.23
(6.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$119.88
Resistance Level
$132.60
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.21
Wall Street Target
$136.50
(+5.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.7% premium
PE vs Historical
19.2 vs 16.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$137.34
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$145.16
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$153.44
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$130.22
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 26.9%)
$308.46
(+137%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.2, Growth: 26.9%)
$265.66
(+105%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.3, Growth: 26.9%)
$225.46
(+74%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.27
Bull Case
$181.29
(+39%)
Analyst growth 28.4%, PE expands to 26.8
Base Case
$164.81
(+27%)
Market implied 28.4%, PE stable at 24.4
Bear Case
$87.31
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 8:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DXPE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher T Gregory
SELL
4477 shares
2025-09-25
Nicholas Little
SELL
20440 shares
2025-09-22
John Jay Jeffery
SELL
2000 shares
2025-08-22
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Advanced DXPE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DXPE price and gamma walls.
