EBMT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EBMT - Eagle Bancorp Montana, Inc
$21.61
-0.45 (-2.04%)
▼
5d:
-5.55%
30d:
-0.46%
90d:
-4.13%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EBMT is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: EBMT is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.01
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.77
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EBMT is currently trading at $21.61, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.77 to $22.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.1) is in line with its historical norms (10.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EBMT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EBMT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$21.77 -
$22.53
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.6% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.77 -
$22.53
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.75
Resistance Level
$23.36
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.07
Wall Street Target
$23.67
(+9.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.3%
Profit Margin
16.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.63
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$21.65
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$21.67
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.53
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 5.4%)
$55.48
(+157%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 5.4%)
$25.30
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 5.4%)
$21.51
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.00
Bull Case
$26.05
(+21%)
Analyst growth 7.3%, PE expands to 12.1
Base Case
$23.68
(+10%)
Market implied 7.3%, PE stable at 11.0
Bear Case
$15.00
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 2:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EBMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Samuel Waters
SELL
2100 shares
2026-02-20
Peter Joseph Johnson
SELL
3355 shares
2026-02-11
Peter Joseph Johnson
SELL
4192 shares
2026-02-10
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