EC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EC - Ecopetrol S.A
$15.14
0.65 (4.49%)
▲
5d:
+2.3%
30d:
+30.63%
90d:
+51.1%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
Get Alerted When EC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: EC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.62
Based on 3.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.32
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EC is currently trading at $15.14, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.48 to $14.81. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.2) is in line with its historical norms (10.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.91, while resistance sits at $15.62. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.82. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.91, while resistance sits at $15.62. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.82. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$12.48 -
$14.81
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.5%)
- BEARISH: Trading 28.5% above Wall St target ($10.82)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.5% growth with -17.2% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$12.48 -
$14.81
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.91
Resistance Level
$15.62
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.19
Wall Street Target
$10.83
(-28.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-17.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.8%
Profit Margin
7.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 10.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.52
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$15.91
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$16.30
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.15
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 2.8%)
$30.20
(+100%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: 2.8%)
$16.44
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 2.8%)
$13.97
(-8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.17
Bull Case
$16.83
(+18%)
Analyst growth 3.2%, PE expands to 13.9
Base Case
$15.30
(+7%)
Market implied 3.2%, PE stable at 12.7
Bear Case
$10.08
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 5:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:06 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is EC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Oil & Gas Integrated Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas Integrated by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
XOM
Exxon Mobil Corp |
BUY
28 analysts |
$152 | 65 BUY |
|
CVE
Cenovus Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$27 | 63 BUY |
|
CVX
Chevron Corp |
BUY
25 analysts |
$194 | 55 HOLD |
|
SHEL
Shell PLC ADR |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$86 | 58 HOLD |
|
SU
Suncor Energy Inc |
BUY
21 analysts |
$57 | 62 BUY |
