ECL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ECL - Ecolab, Inc.
$281.99
-0.84 (-0.30%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 10, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ECL is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ECL is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$315.05
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$195.62
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ECL is currently trading at $281.99, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $264.07 to $277.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 33.4) is in line with its historical norms (31.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ECL is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $285.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ECL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ECL is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $285.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ECL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$264.07 -
$277.28
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ECL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($295.38)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$264.07 -
$277.28
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$271.12
Resistance Level
$285.00
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.37
Wall Street Target
$295.38
(+4.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Profit Margin
12.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
33.4 vs 31.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$287.36
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$291.95
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$296.62
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→32)
PE COMPRESSION
$282.66
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.4, Growth: 12.6%)
$403.34
(+43%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 12.6%)
$269.53
(-5%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 12.6%)
$229.10
(-19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.96
Bull Case
$380.54
(+35%)
Analyst growth 21.8%, PE expands to 44.9
Base Case
$345.94
(+22%)
Market implied 21.8%, PE stable at 40.8
Bear Case
$193.18
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ECL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-09-05
Suzanne M Vautrinot
SELL
1354 shares
2025-08-19
David Maclennan
BUY
600 shares
2025-08-13
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Advanced ECL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ECL price and gamma walls.
