ECVT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ECVT - Ecovyst Inc.
$10.61
-0.21 (-1.94%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ECVT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ECVT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.45
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.07
12.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ECVT is currently trading at $10.61, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.92 to $10.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.9) is in line with its historical norms (16.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ECVT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+10.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ECVT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+10.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$9.92 -
$10.88
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($12.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.7% growth with 33.2% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$9.92 -
$10.88
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.51
Resistance Level
$11.31
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.88
Wall Street Target
$12.00
(+10.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-28.6%
Profit Margin
-13.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.7% premium
PE vs Historical
17.9 vs 16.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.11
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$11.41
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$11.72
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.82
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 50.0%)
$45.54
(+321%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.9, Growth: 50.0%)
$36.51
(+237%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.2, Growth: 50.0%)
$31.03
(+187%)
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ECVT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ECVT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ECVT price and gamma walls.
