EMN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EMN - Eastman Chemical Company
$69.36
0.37 (0.53%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EMN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EMN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$97.39
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$60.47
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EMN is currently trading at $69.36, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.45 to $69.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.3) is in line with its historical norms (10.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EMN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $65.36, while resistance sits at $72.38.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EMN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $65.36, while resistance sits at $72.38.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$64.45 -
$69.33
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($72.94)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.3% growth with -10.6% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$64.45 -
$69.33
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.37
Resistance Level
$72.38
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.32
Wall Street Target
$72.94
(+5.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-73.9%
Profit Margin
7.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 10.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.58
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$72.20
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$73.86
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$69.18
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 13.2%)
$197.09
(+186%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 13.2%)
$100.02
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 13.2%)
$85.02
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.99
Bull Case
$77.15
(+12%)
Analyst growth 1.8%, PE expands to 12.7
Base Case
$70.14
(+2%)
Market implied 1.8%, PE stable at 11.5
Bear Case
$46.87
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 2:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EMN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lisa C. McClain
SELL
2025-08-04
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-08-04
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EMN price and gamma walls.
