ENVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ENVA - Enova International, Inc.
$165.17
0.07 (0.04%)
ā²
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
š HOLD: ENVA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
š HOLD: ENVA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$326.58
Based on 11.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$202.78
18.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ENVA is currently trading at $165.17, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $157.33 to $163.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.9) compared to its historical average (10.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 30.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ENVA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $166.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $187.86 (+13.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ENVA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $166.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $187.86 (+13.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$157.33 -
$163.78
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ENVA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($187.86)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$157.33 -
$163.78
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
Ā±$9.49
(5.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$151.28
Resistance Level
$166.75
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.87
Wall Street Target
$187.86
(+13.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
30.4%
Profit Margin
20.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.9 vs 10.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$156.51
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$148.38
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$140.66
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9ā10)
$164.86
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 18.3%)
$686.64
(+316%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: 18.3%)
$273.22
(+66%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: 18.3%)
$232.24
(+41%)
š
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.51
Bull Case
$283.19
(+72%)
Analyst growth 61.7%, PE expands to 15.2
Base Case
$257.45
(+56%)
Market implied 61.7%, PE stable at 13.8
Bear Case
$108.30
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
š”
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.9 to 10.4
Stabilization Target:
$193.50
(+17.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.2%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 11:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ENVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
6000 shares
2025-09-19
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SELL
35000 shares
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Advanced ENVA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ENVA price and gamma walls.
