EOG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EOG - EOG Resources, Inc.
$112.13
0.05 (0.04%)
β²
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
23d
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1 traders called EOG this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
π‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: EOG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
π‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: EOG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$95.84
Based on -0.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.51
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EOG is currently trading at $112.13, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $104.12 to $109.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.6) compared to its historical average (10.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EOG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $115.45. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EOG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $132.97 (+18.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EOG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $115.45. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EOG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $132.97 (+18.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$104.12 -
$109.23
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($132.97)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.4% growth with -2.4% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$104.12 -
$109.23
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$104.27
Resistance Level
$115.45
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.63
Wall Street Target
$132.97
(+18.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.5%
Profit Margin
24.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.4% premium
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 10.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$117.01
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$122.16
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$127.54
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12β10)
PE COMPRESSION
$111.82
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -4.9%)
$184.72
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: -4.9%)
$96.36
(-14%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: -4.9%)
$81.91
(-27%)
π
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.07
Bull Case
$116.84
(+4%)
Analyst growth -4.3%, PE expands to 12.1
Base Case
$106.21
(-5%)
Market implied -4.3%, PE stable at 11.0
Bear Case
$75.49
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EOG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Julie Johnson
SELL
2025-08-14
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