EPD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EPD - Enterprise Products Partners L.P.
$37.60
0.17 (0.45%)
▲
5d:
-3.84%
30d:
+1.16%
90d:
+17.28%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
EPD is down 3.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $40 2026-05-15 with 6,990 OI. Call ratio: 80% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EPD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EPD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.45
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.32
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EPD is currently trading at $37.60, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.49 to $38.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.1) is in line with its historical norms (11.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$36.49 -
$38.30
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($38.52)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$36.49 -
$38.30
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.78
Resistance Level
$39.74
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.06
Wall Street Target
$38.52
(+2.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.7%
Profit Margin
11.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 11.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.88
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$38.33
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$38.79
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$37.31
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 10.0%)
$92.25
(+147%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 10.0%)
$49.78
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 10.0%)
$42.31
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.66
Bull Case
$48.55
(+27%)
Analyst growth 17.5%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$44.14
(+16%)
Market implied 17.5%, PE stable at 14.1
Bear Case
$25.54
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 12:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EPD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
John R Rutherford
BUY
15000 shares
2025-12-29
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Advanced EPD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EPD price and gamma walls.
