ESI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ESI - Element Solutions Inc.
$29.59
0.49 (1.68%)
▲
5d:
+0.31%
30d:
+18.41%
90d:
+13.81%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 17, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ESI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ESI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.25
Based on 10.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.47
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ESI is currently trading at $29.59, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.54 to $29.55. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.1) is in line with its historical norms (15.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.10 (+11.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.10 (+11.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$26.54 -
$29.55
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($33.10)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.9% growth with 1.7% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$26.54 -
$29.55
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.41
Resistance Level
$30.26
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.11
Wall Street Target
$33.10
(+11.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.9%
Profit Margin
9.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
17.1 vs 15.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.45
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$31.33
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$32.24
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.58
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 16.7%)
$61.27
(+107%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.1, Growth: 16.7%)
$47.01
(+59%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.5, Growth: 16.7%)
$39.96
(+35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.97
Bull Case
$57.07
(+93%)
Analyst growth 78.3%, PE expands to 33.0
Base Case
$51.89
(+75%)
Market implied 78.3%, PE stable at 30.0
Bear Case
$19.79
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 02, 2026 11:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ESI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Carey J Dorman
SELL
40725 shares
2025-09-18
John Edward Capps
SELL
77674 shares
2025-09-18
Matthew Liebowitz
SELL
50000 shares
2025-09-17
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