ESP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ESP - Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp
$64.97
-0.53 (-0.81%)
▼
5d:
-1.65%
30d:
+12.31%
90d:
+13.94%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 16, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ESP is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ESP is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.70
Based on 1.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.80
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ESP is currently trading at $64.97, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.77 to $64.84. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.5) is in line with its historical norms (16.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESP is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $60.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ESP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESP is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $60.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ESP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$56.77 -
$64.84
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($65.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$56.77 -
$64.84
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$54.05
Resistance Level
$60.59
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.51
Wall Street Target
$65.00
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
57.1%
Profit Margin
25.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
17.5 vs 16.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$66.01
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$67.07
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$68.14
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$64.98
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -1.6%)
$77.01
(+19%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.5, Growth: -1.6%)
$61.92
(-5%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.9, Growth: -1.6%)
$52.63
(-19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 17.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.81
Bull Case
$70.16
(+8%)
Analyst growth -2.6%, PE expands to 18.9
Base Case
$63.78
(-2%)
Market implied -2.6%, PE stable at 17.2
Bear Case
$44.54
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 6:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ESP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael W Wool
SELL
1000 shares
2026-02-19
Paul J Corr
SELL
2400 shares
2026-02-18
Paul J Corr
SELL
2242 shares
2026-02-18
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