ESP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ESP - Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp
$67.20
-3.30 (-4.68%)
▼
5d:
-5.53%
30d:
-0.07%
90d:
+28.22%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ESP is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ESP is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$69.15
Based on 2.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.94
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ESP is currently trading at $67.20, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.21 to $72.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.5) compared to its historical average (16.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $65.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $65.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$62.21 -
$72.02
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.7%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($64.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.5% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$62.21 -
$72.02
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.37
Resistance Level
$74.77
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.51
Wall Street Target
$64.00
(-4.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
57.1%
Profit Margin
25.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
18.5 vs 16.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$69.35
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$71.57
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$73.86
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$67.03
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 1.1%)
$82.82
(+23%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.5, Growth: 1.1%)
$69.47
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.7, Growth: 1.1%)
$59.05
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 18.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.81
Bull Case
$73.89
(+10%)
Analyst growth -4.7%, PE expands to 20.4
Base Case
$67.17
(0%)
Market implied -4.7%, PE stable at 18.5
Bear Case
$47.94
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 10:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ESP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael W Wool
SELL
1000 shares
2026-02-19
Paul J Corr
SELL
2400 shares
2026-02-18
Paul J Corr
SELL
2242 shares
2026-02-18
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