ETN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ETN - Eaton Corporation, plc Ordinary Shares
$351.42
-2.95 (-0.83%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 03, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ETN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ETN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$479.78
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$297.90
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ETN is currently trading at $351.42, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $321.18 to $340.80. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.0) is in line with its historical norms (24.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ETN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $360.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ETN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $396.80 (+12.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ETN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $360.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ETN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $396.80 (+12.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$321.18 -
$340.80
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($396.80)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$321.18 -
$340.80
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$327.50
Resistance Level
$360.63
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.00
Wall Street Target
$396.80
(+12.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.4%
Profit Margin
14.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
26.0 vs 24.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$359.85
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$368.49
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$377.33
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$351.21
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.0, Growth: 12.0%)
$493.85
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 12.0%)
$423.57
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 12.0%)
$360.03
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.00
Bull Case
$516.39
(+47%)
Analyst growth 35.2%, PE expands to 38.2
Base Case
$469.44
(+34%)
Market implied 35.2%, PE stable at 34.7
Bear Case
$236.18
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 11:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ETN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Val T. Hoyle
SELL
2025-09-23
John Boozman
BUY
2025-09-12
Julie Johnson
SELL
2025-08-14
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