ETON Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ETON - Eton Pharmaceutcials, Inc. Common Stock
$15.37
0.20 (1.32%)
▲
5d:
+2.19%
30d:
-5.47%
90d:
-14.66%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Mar 17, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ETON shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ETON shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.27
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.42
20.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ETON is currently trading at $15.37, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.04 to $16.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.0) is in line with its historical norms (15.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ETON is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+97.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ETON is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+97.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$15.04 -
$16.45
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 97.8% below Wall St target ($30.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$15.04 -
$16.45
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.58
(10.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.62
Resistance Level
$15.62
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.02
Wall Street Target
$30.00
(+97.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
117.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.6%
Profit Margin
-9.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 15.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.90
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$14.63
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$14.37
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$15.21
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 173.0%)
$76.02
(+401%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 173.0%)
$51.20
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: 173.0%)
$43.52
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.0 to 15.9
Stabilization Target:
$16.06
(+5.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.9%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 9:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ETON showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James R Gruber
SELL
2631 shares
2025-08-20
James R Gruber
SELL
39082 shares
2025-08-19
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