EXFY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXFY - Expensify, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$1.45
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
-4.61%
30d:
-3.97%
90d:
-8.81%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EXFY shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EXFY shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXFY is currently trading at $1.45, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.41 to $1.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.2) is in line with its historical norms (8.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2755.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXFY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.38, while resistance sits at $1.52.
Market Sentiment: EXFY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $2.83 (+95.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXFY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.38, while resistance sits at $1.52.
Market Sentiment: EXFY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $2.83 (+95.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$1.41 -
$1.50
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 95.4% below Wall St target ($2.83)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$1.41 -
$1.50
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1.38
Resistance Level
$1.52
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.23
Wall Street Target
$2.83
(+95.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2755.3%
Profit Margin
-10.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.2 vs 8.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.44
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$1.43
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$1.42
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$1.44
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 40.0%)
$10.77
(+643%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: 40.0%)
$3.98
(+174%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: 40.0%)
$3.38
(+133%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.2 to 8.4
Stabilization Target:
$1.48
(+2.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.0%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 8:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXFY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
17
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Anuradha Muralidharan
SELL
14961 shares
2025-09-19
Ryan Schaffer
SELL
2732 shares
2025-09-18
Jason Fahr Mills
SELL
1812 shares
2025-09-18
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