F Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
F - Ford Motor Company
$13.88
-0.12 (-0.86%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 10, 2026
10d
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6 traders called F this week
78% bullish • 2 bearish
78% bullish • 2 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: F shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: F shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.10
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.83
17.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: F is currently trading at $13.88, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.33 to $13.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.1) is in line with its historical norms (9.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, F is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, F is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$13.33 -
$13.98
Company Quality Score
68/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($13.76)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$13.33 -
$13.98
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.23
Resistance Level
$14.09
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.05
Wall Street Target
$13.76
(-1.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
172.7%
Profit Margin
2.5%
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 9.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.00
(0%)
2-Year Target
$14.00
(0%)
3-Year Target
$14.00
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.92
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 36.7%)
$88.15
(+530%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 36.7%)
$35.79
(+156%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 36.7%)
$30.42
(+117%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.17
Bull Case
$20.25
(+45%)
Analyst growth 32.2%, PE expands to 13.1
Base Case
$18.41
(+32%)
Market implied 32.2%, PE stable at 11.9
Bear Case
$9.47
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is F showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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