FANG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FANG - Diamondback Energy, Inc.
$163.95
0.88 (0.54%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 23, 2026
23d
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1 traders called FANG this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FANG trades at premium valuation expecting 7.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: FANG trades at premium valuation expecting 7.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.41
Based on -8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.03
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FANG is currently trading at $163.95, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $145.86 to $156.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.4) compared to its historical average (13.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FANG is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $168.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FANG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $180.43 (+10.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FANG is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $168.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FANG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $180.43 (+10.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$145.86 -
$156.49
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FANG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($180.43)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.0% growth which is achievable
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$145.86 -
$156.49
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$148.25
Resistance Level
$168.48
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.36
Wall Street Target
$180.43
(+10.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
42.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Profit Margin
28.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.0% premium
PE vs Historical
16.4 vs 13.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$174.48
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$186.70
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$199.77
(+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$163.61
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -20.3%)
$162.03
(+-1%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: -20.3%)
$118.88
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: -20.3%)
$97.36
(-40%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.24
Bull Case
$123.23
(-24%)
Analyst growth -29.6%, PE expands to 12.3
Base Case
$112.03
(-31%)
Market implied -29.6%, PE stable at 11.2
Bear Case
$108.20
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FANG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Travis D Stice
SELL
20400 shares
2025-08-07
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