FBK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FBK - FB Financial Corporation
$55.90
-0.66 (-1.17%)
▼
5d:
+0.74%
30d:
+5.43%
90d:
+6.21%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 13, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FBK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FBK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$75.44
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.84
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FBK is currently trading at $55.90, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.79 to $55.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.0) is in line with its historical norms (11.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FBK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FBK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.50 (+15.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FBK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FBK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.50 (+15.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$52.79 -
$55.18
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($64.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$52.79 -
$55.18
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$51.50
Resistance Level
$54.48
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.03
Wall Street Target
$64.50
(+15.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
31.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.0%
Profit Margin
25.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 11.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.01
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$56.12
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$56.24
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$56.08
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.5%)
$141.13
(+153%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 8.5%)
$71.48
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 8.5%)
$60.76
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.71
Bull Case
$116.34
(+108%)
Analyst growth 87.0%, PE expands to 23.0
Base Case
$105.76
(+89%)
Market implied 87.0%, PE stable at 20.9
Bear Case
$38.46
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 3:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FBK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James Austin Mcpherson
SELL
8500 shares
2026-01-15
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