FBK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FBK - FB Financial Corporation
$51.30
-0.45 (-0.87%)
▼
5d:
-5.21%
30d:
-3.66%
90d:
-13.05%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 13, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FBK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FBK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$75.61
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FBK is currently trading at $51.30, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.70 to $55.11. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.1) is in line with its historical norms (11.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 31.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FBK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $51.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.43 (+25.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FBK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $51.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.43 (+25.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$52.70 -
$55.11
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.6% below Wall St target ($64.43)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.2% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$52.70 -
$55.11
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$51.16
Resistance Level
$55.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.12
Wall Street Target
$64.43
(+25.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
31.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.0%
Profit Margin
25.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 11.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.81
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$48.37
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$46.97
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$51.51
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 8.2%)
$141.72
(+176%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 8.2%)
$64.99
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 8.2%)
$55.24
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.71
Bull Case
$105.06
(+105%)
Analyst growth 87.0%, PE expands to 20.7
Base Case
$95.51
(+86%)
Market implied 87.0%, PE stable at 18.8
Bear Case
$34.72
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 11.1
Stabilization Target:
$56.26
(+9.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 4:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:45 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is FBK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James Austin Mcpherson
SELL
8500 shares
2026-01-15
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