FBK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FBK - FB Financial Corporation
$54.12
0.11 (0.20%)
▲
5d:
-0.09%
30d:
-4.11%
90d:
-12.16%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 13, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FBK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FBK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$75.61
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FBK is currently trading at $54.12, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.38 to $55.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.7) is in line with its historical norms (11.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 31.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FBK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $53.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FBK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.43 (+19.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FBK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $53.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FBK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.43 (+19.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$53.38 -
$55.05
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($64.43)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$53.38 -
$55.05
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$53.30
Resistance Level
$55.83
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 8, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.68
Wall Street Target
$64.43
(+19.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
31.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.0%
Profit Margin
25.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 11.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$53.42
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$52.72
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$52.04
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$54.10
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 8.2%)
$140.88
(+160%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 8.2%)
$68.56
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 8.2%)
$58.28
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.71
Bull Case
$111.12
(+105%)
Analyst growth 87.0%, PE expands to 21.9
Base Case
$101.02
(+87%)
Market implied 87.0%, PE stable at 19.9
Bear Case
$36.73
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 11.1
Stabilization Target:
$56.26
(+4.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 10, 2026 12:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FBK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James Austin Mcpherson
SELL
8500 shares
2026-01-15
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