FC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FC - Franklin Covey Company

SERVICES-MANAGEMENT SERVICES
$20.37
-0.09 (-0.44%) ▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 01, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% growth. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.05
Based on 11.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.90
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FC is currently trading at $20.37, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.27 to $20.55. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.5) is in line with its historical norms (14.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FC is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $19.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (22th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.33 (+33.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range $17.27 - $20.55
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 22th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.6%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 22th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 33.6% below Wall St target ($27.33)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.0% growth with -7.3% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $17.27 - $20.55
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$3.04 (14.9%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $19.79
Resistance Level $21.46
Current Trend Sideways

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.50
Wall Street Target $27.33 (+33.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -61.3%
Profit Margin -0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.0% premium
PE vs Historical 15.5 vs 14.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $21.07 (+3%)
2-Year Target $21.71 (+6%)
3-Year Target $22.36 (+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→14) PE COMPRESSION $20.48 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 18.9%) $49.50 (+142%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: 18.9%) $34.41 (+68%)
Bear: (PE: 13.2, Growth: 18.9%) $29.25 (+43%)
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced FC Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FC price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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