FDS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FDS - Factset Research Systems
$204.55
6.22 (3.14%)
▲
5d:
-1.88%
30d:
-5.65%
90d:
-29.98%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 31, 2026
TODAY
Smart Money Accumulation
FDS is down 8.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $210 2026-04-17 with 87 OI. Call ratio: 64% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FDS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FDS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$344.03
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$213.62
4.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FDS is currently trading at $204.55, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $198.32 to $218.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.8) compared to its historical average (13.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FDS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $191.23, while resistance sits at $214.88. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $275.06 (+34.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FDS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $191.23, while resistance sits at $214.88. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $275.06 (+34.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$198.32 -
$218.22
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
45th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 45th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 34.5% below Wall St target ($275.06)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$198.32 -
$218.22
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$17.35
(8.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$191.23
Resistance Level
$214.88
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.75
Wall Street Target
$275.06
(+34.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.4%
Profit Margin
25.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 13.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$190.44
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$177.30
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$165.06
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$204.19
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 8.7%)
$545.94
(+167%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 8.7%)
$262.63
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 8.7%)
$223.23
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.72
Bull Case
$277.70
(+33%)
Analyst growth 20.6%, PE expands to 14.6
Base Case
$252.46
(+21%)
Market implied 20.6%, PE stable at 13.3
Bear Case
$142.30
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.8 to 13.3
Stabilization Target:
$253.03
(+23.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FDS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
14
Buys
6
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-17
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-05
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-03
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Advanced FDS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FDS price and gamma walls.
