FDS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FDS - Factset Research Systems

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.
$227.68
2.82 (1.25%) ▲
5d: +16.0%
30d: +1.01%
90d: -21.54%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your FDS Gains
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 31, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

FDS is up 14.9% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $190 2026-06-18 with 129 OI. Put ratio: 69% View Scanner →

Strength: 9.4/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FDS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$353.80
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$219.68
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FDS is currently trading at $227.68, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $200.02 to $219.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.8) compared to its historical average (13.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FDS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $231.21. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: FDS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $252.69 (+11.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $200.02 - $219.94
Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 59.5%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($252.69)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $200.02 - $219.94
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $191.23
Resistance Level $231.21
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Apr 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.77
Wall Street Target $252.69 (+11.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -4.5%
Profit Margin 24.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 11.8 vs 13.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $218.80 (-4%)
2-Year Target $210.27 (-8%)
3-Year Target $202.07 (-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→13) $228.28 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.6, Growth: 9.2%) $517.74 (+127%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 9.2%) $296.32 (+30%)
Bear: (PE: 10.0, Growth: 9.2%) $251.87 (+11%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.72
Bull Case $277.70 (+33%)
Analyst growth 20.6%, PE expands to 14.6
Base Case $252.46 (+21%)
Market implied 20.6%, PE stable at 13.3
Bear Case $142.30 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.8 to 13.3
Stabilization Target: $257.21 (+13.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +13.0%
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Last updated: April 02, 2026 7:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:20 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
14
Buys
6
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-02-17
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-02-05
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-02-03

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Advanced FDS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FDS price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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