FDS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FDS - Factset Research Systems

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.
$254.36
1.57 (0.62%) β–²
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 19, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: FDS is down 11.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$402.17
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$249.71
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FDS is currently trading at $254.36, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $273.71 to $297.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.4) compared to its historical average (15.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FDS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $249.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $322.12 (+26.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $273.71 - $297.03
Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 83.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 26.6% below Wall St target ($322.12)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $273.71 - $297.03
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$8.90 (3.5%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $249.68
Resistance Level $290.75
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.38
Wall Street Target $322.13 (+26.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 4.4%
Profit Margin 25.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 13.4 vs 15.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $241.90 (-5%)
2-Year Target $230.04 (-10%)
3-Year Target $218.77 (-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13β†’16) $255.00 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.6%) $543.41 (+114%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 8.6%) $326.14 (+28%)
Bear: (PE: 11.4, Growth: 8.6%) $277.22 (+9%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.72
Bull Case $358.88 (+41%)
Analyst growth 20.9%, PE expands to 18.9
Base Case $326.25 (+28%)
Market implied 20.9%, PE stable at 17.2
Bear Case $183.51 (-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.4 to 15.6
Stabilization Target: $296.48 (+16.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +16.6%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 5:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Helen L Shan BUY 370 shares 2025-10-06
Barak Eilam SELL 1 shares 2025-10-03
Ro Khanna BUY 2025-09-29

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Advanced FDS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FDS price and gamma walls.

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