FG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FG - F&G Annuities & Life, Inc.
$28.04
-0.55 (-1.92%)
▼
5d:
-0.92%
30d:
+6.62%
90d:
-1.41%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.40
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.40
18.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FG is currently trading at $28.04, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.80 to $28.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.7) is in line with its historical norms (4.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $26.80, while resistance sits at $30.23.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $26.80, while resistance sits at $30.23.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$25.80 -
$28.68
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($27.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with 30.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.80 -
$28.68
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.80
Resistance Level
$30.23
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.72
Wall Street Target
$27.00
(-5.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-64.2%
Profit Margin
8.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
4.7 vs 4.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.70
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$28.82
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$28.93
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.79
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 47.5%)
$428.34
(+1398%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.7, Growth: 47.5%)
$91.80
(+221%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.0, Growth: 47.5%)
$78.03
(+173%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.86
Bull Case
$48.45
(+70%)
Analyst growth 56.8%, PE expands to 8.0
Base Case
$44.05
(+54%)
Market implied 56.8%, PE stable at 7.3
Bear Case
$19.10
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 4:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Celina J Wang Doka
BUY
4760 shares
2026-03-13
Christopher O Blunt
BUY
10000 shares
2026-03-13
Christopher O Blunt
BUY
5000 shares
2026-01-02
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