FLEX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FLEX - Flex Ltd. Ordinary Shares
$63.04
-2.43 (-3.71%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FLEX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FLEX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$106.68
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.24
4.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FLEX is currently trading at $63.04, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.80 to $65.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.4) is in line with its historical norms (19.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLEX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $62.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: FLEX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.70 (+12.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLEX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $62.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: FLEX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.70 (+12.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$61.80 -
$65.20
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($73.70)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$61.80 -
$65.20
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$62.34
Resistance Level
$67.93
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.43
Wall Street Target
$73.70
(+12.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.7%
Profit Margin
3.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.4 vs 19.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$64.03
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$62.62
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$61.24
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→20)
$65.47
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 13.7%)
$116.38
(+78%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.4, Growth: 13.7%)
$96.17
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.7, Growth: 13.7%)
$81.75
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.27
Bull Case
$114.09
(+81%)
Analyst growth 56.5%, PE expands to 32.1
Base Case
$103.72
(+65%)
Market implied 56.5%, PE stable at 29.2
Bear Case
$45.06
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.4 to 19.7
Stabilization Target:
$69.99
(+6.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.9%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FLEX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael P Hartung
SELL
45000 shares
2025-09-16
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2025-09-12
Daniel Wendler
SELL
10000 shares
2025-09-10
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