FLO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FLO - Flowers Foods, Inc.
$8.37
-0.04 (-0.42%)
▼
5d:
+1.27%
30d:
-15.33%
90d:
-23.19%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 15, 2026
Get Alerted When FLO Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FLO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FLO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.41
Based on 0.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.84
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FLO is currently trading at $8.37, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.35 to $9.63. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.0) is in line with its historical norms (11.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.04, while resistance sits at $9.03.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.33 (+34.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.04, while resistance sits at $9.03.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.33 (+34.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$8.35 -
$9.63
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.9% below Wall St target ($11.33)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$8.35 -
$9.63
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.04
Resistance Level
$9.03
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.99
Wall Street Target
$11.33
(+34.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.0%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 11.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.11
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$7.82
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$7.55
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$8.39
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: -3.6%)
$18.81
(+124%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: -3.6%)
$8.39
(0%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: -3.6%)
$7.13
(-15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.40
Bull Case
$18.00
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 22.5
Base Case
$16.36
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 20.5
Bear Case
$5.56
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.0 to 11.1
Stabilization Target:
$9.33
(+11.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:27 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is FLO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ryals Mcmullian
SELL
209000 shares
2026-01-02
Melvin T Stith
BUY
456 shares
2025-12-03
Top Rated Packaged Foods Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Packaged Foods by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
FRPT
Freshpet Inc |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$87 | 52 HOLD |
|
DAR
Darling Ingredients Inc |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$62 | 58 HOLD |
|
BRBR
Bellring Brands LLC |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$30 | 45 HOLD |
|
NOMD
Nomad Foods Ltd |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$14 | 62 BUY |
|
CPB
Campbell’s Co |
SELL
23 analysts |
$26 | 55 HOLD |
