FLYW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FLYW - Flywire Corporation Voting Common Stock
$16.06
-0.29 (-1.77%)
▼
5d:
-6.79%
30d:
+19.58%
90d:
+46.4%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
FLYW is down 7.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $12.5 2026-06-18 with 414 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 8.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FLYW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FLYW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.95
Based on 13.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.60
13.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FLYW is currently trading at $16.06, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.25 to $15.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.8) is in line with its historical norms (12.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLYW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.76, while resistance sits at $18.05.
Market Sentiment: FLYW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.50 (+15.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FLYW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.76, while resistance sits at $18.05.
Market Sentiment: FLYW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.50 (+15.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$12.25 -
$15.89
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FLYW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($18.50)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.8%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.25 -
$15.89
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.76
Resistance Level
$18.05
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.81
Wall Street Target
$18.50
(+15.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
41.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-23.3%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.8 vs 12.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.01
(0%)
2-Year Target
$15.96
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$15.92
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
$16.03
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 22.6%)
$51.05
(+218%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 22.6%)
$29.62
(+85%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 22.6%)
$25.18
(+57%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 17.61 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.91
Bull Case
$19.39
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 18.5
Base Case
$16.06
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.6
Bear Case
$12.29
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.8 to 12.9
Stabilization Target:
$16.18
(+0.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 5:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FLYW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Peter Butterfield
SELL
9009 shares
2026-03-05
Voss Capital, Lp
BUY
25000 shares
2026-02-13
Peter Butterfield
SELL
13327 shares
2026-01-07
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Advanced FLYW Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FLYW price and gamma walls.
