FMBH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FMBH - First Mid Bancshares, Inc. Common Stock
$46.67
0.47 (1.02%)
▲
5d:
+3.64%
30d:
+10.64%
90d:
+18.45%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FMBH is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: FMBH is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.32
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.59
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FMBH is currently trading at $46.67, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.64 to $45.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.5) is in line with its historical norms (8.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FMBH is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $46.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FMBH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FMBH is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $46.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FMBH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$42.64 -
$45.17
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($49.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.64 -
$45.17
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.08
Resistance Level
$46.07
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.54
Wall Street Target
$49.00
(+5.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.1%
Profit Margin
27.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
9.5 vs 8.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.74
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$48.84
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$49.96
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$46.63
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 7.3%)
$132.65
(+184%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: 7.3%)
$57.71
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: 7.3%)
$49.05
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.96
Bull Case
$62.81
(+35%)
Analyst growth 23.6%, PE expands to 12.8
Base Case
$57.10
(+22%)
Market implied 23.6%, PE stable at 11.7
Bear Case
$31.42
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 5:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FMBH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James Edwin Zimmer
BUY
217 shares
2026-02-17
Bradley L Beesley
SELL
6000 shares
2026-02-04
Clay M Dean
SELL
1099 shares
2025-12-18
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