FMBH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FMBH - First Mid Bancshares, Inc. Common Stock
$43.00
-0.77 (-1.76%)
▼
5d:
+0.44%
30d:
+5.76%
90d:
+2.23%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 29, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When FMBH Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FMBH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FMBH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.55
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.35
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FMBH is currently trading at $43.00, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.19 to $43.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.9) is in line with its historical norms (8.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FMBH is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $42.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.57 (+10.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FMBH is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $42.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.57 (+10.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$41.19 -
$43.67
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($47.57)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$41.19 -
$43.67
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.66
Resistance Level
$44.64
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 29, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.93
Wall Street Target
$47.57
(+10.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.8%
Profit Margin
27.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
8.9 vs 8.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.09
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$43.17
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$43.26
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$43.12
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 8.9%)
$128.24
(+198%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: 8.9%)
$55.56
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: 8.9%)
$47.23
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.83
Bull Case
$60.54
(+41%)
Analyst growth 25.7%, PE expands to 12.6
Base Case
$55.03
(+28%)
Market implied 25.7%, PE stable at 11.4
Bear Case
$29.76
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 29, 2026 11:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:49 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is FMBH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James Edwin Zimmer
BUY
217 shares
2026-02-17
Bradley L Beesley
SELL
6000 shares
2026-02-04
Clay M Dean
SELL
1099 shares
2025-12-18
Top Rated Banks - Regional Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Banks - Regional by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
FITB
Fifth Third Bancorp |
BUY
24 analysts |
$57 | 63 BUY |
|
HBAN
Huntington Bancshares In… |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$20 | 54 HOLD |
|
CFG
Citizens Financial Group… |
BUY
21 analysts |
$73 | 62 BUY |
|
TFC
Truist Financial Corp |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$56 | 58 HOLD |
|
MTB
M&T Bank Corporation |
BUY
21 analysts |
$234 | 51 HOLD |
