FN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FN - Fabrinet
$491.88
-60.09 (-10.89%)
▼
5d:
-9.99%
30d:
-9.85%
90d:
+2.83%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
FN is down 7.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $550 2026-05-15 with 35 OI. Call ratio: 73% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$713.32
Based on 12.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$442.91
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FN is currently trading at $491.88, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $502.89 to $569.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 30.2) compared to its historical average (33.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 30.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $485.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 10.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $582.22 (+18.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $485.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 10.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $582.22 (+18.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$502.89 -
$569.96
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
43.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-10.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($582.22)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$502.89 -
$569.96
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$485.00
Resistance Level
$630.92
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.19
Wall Street Target
$582.22
(+18.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
35.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
30.7%
Profit Margin
9.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
30.2 vs 33.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$474.66
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$458.05
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$442.02
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→34)
$491.98
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.2, Growth: 20.0%)
$849.81
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 20.0%)
$629.17
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 20.0%)
$534.79
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (30x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.43
Bull Case
$870.00
(+59%)
Analyst growth 56.2%, PE expands to 53.4
Base Case
$790.91
(+45%)
Market implied 56.2%, PE stable at 48.5
Bear Case
$344.26
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 30.2 to 33.6
Stabilization Target:
$547.48
(+11.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Thomas F Kelly
SELL
2200 shares
2025-12-04
Homa Bahrami
SELL
3500 shares
2025-12-01
Seamus Grady
SELL
22451 shares
2025-11-26
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Advanced FN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FN price and gamma walls.
