FN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FN - Fabrinet

TELEPHONE & TELEGRAPH APPARATUS
$489.44
-6.82 (-1.37%) β–Ό
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 02, 2026 1d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
βœ… BUY SIGNAL: FN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$607.24
Based on 9.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$377.05
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FN is currently trading at $489.44, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $461.33 to $492.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 32.4) is in line with its historical norms (34.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 24.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $450.42, while resistance sits at $528.80.

Market Sentiment: FN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (13th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range $461.33 - $492.48
Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)
Options IV Signal 13th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 76.9%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 13th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($501.33)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $461.33 - $492.48
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$47.45 (9.7%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $450.42
Resistance Level $528.80
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 32.42
Wall Street Target $501.33 (+1.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 21.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 24.9%
Profit Margin 9.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 32.4 vs 34.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $485.34 (-2%)
2-Year Target $474.66 (-4%)
3-Year Target $464.22 (-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 32β†’35) $495.43 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 32.4, Growth: 15.5%) $764.92 (+54%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 15.5%) $526.14 (+6%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 15.5%) $447.22 (-10%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (52x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (32x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 51.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.72
Bull Case $867.86 (+77%)
Analyst growth 57.5%, PE expands to 56.7
Base Case $788.97 (+61%)
Market implied 57.5%, PE stable at 51.5
Bear Case $340.68 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 43.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 32.4 to 34.6
Stabilization Target: $529.62 (+6.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +6.7%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 7:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:55 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Edward T Archer SELL 3333 shares 2025-09-04
Harpal Gill SELL 14203 shares 2025-09-04
Seamus Grady SELL 9513 shares 2025-08-27

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Advanced FN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FN price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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