FR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FR - First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc.
$58.03
-0.15 (-0.26%)
▼
5d:
+1.06%
30d:
-0.19%
90d:
+4.24%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.72
Based on 3.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.12
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FR is currently trading at $58.03, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $57.40 to $59.00. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 33.5) is in line with its historical norms (33.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $56.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $56.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$57.40 -
$59.00
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($62.62)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.2% growth with 8.0% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$57.40 -
$59.00
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$56.71
Resistance Level
$60.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.47
Wall Street Target
$62.63
(+7.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-34.7%
Profit Margin
33.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
33.5 vs 33.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.15
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$58.26
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$58.38
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→33)
PE COMPRESSION
$58.08
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.5, Growth: 3.2%)
$63.82
(+10%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 3.2%)
$42.52
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 3.2%)
$36.14
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 31.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.79
Bull Case
$60.59
(+4%)
Analyst growth -3.2%, PE expands to 35.0
Base Case
$55.08
(-5%)
Market implied -3.2%, PE stable at 31.8
Bear Case
$38.67
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 02, 2026 5:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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