FROG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FROG - JFrog Ltd. Ordinary Shares
$48.46
1.53 (3.26%)
▲
5d:
+2.82%
30d:
+14.73%
90d:
-25.98%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
FROG is down 3.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $50 2026-05-15 with 2,618 OI. Call ratio: 90% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: FROG is 7.4% above fair value ($45.11). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: FROG is 7.4% above fair value ($45.11). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.94
Based on 13.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.01
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FROG is currently trading at $48.46, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.36 to $45.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 44.2) compared to its historical average (56.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FROG is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $49.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: FROG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.65 (+43.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FROG is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $49.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: FROG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.65 (+43.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$39.36 -
$45.11
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FROG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.4% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 43.7% below Wall St target ($69.65)
- CAUTION: Extended 7.4% above fair value - wait for pullback
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$39.36 -
$45.11
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.00
Resistance Level
$49.64
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
44.24
Wall Street Target
$69.65
(+43.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.2%
Profit Margin
-13.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
44.2 vs 56.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.73
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$41.28
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$38.11
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 44→56)
$48.49
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 44.2, Growth: 21.9%)
$87.76
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 21.9%)
$44.33
(-9%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 21.9%)
$37.68
(-22%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 44.2 to 56.3
Stabilization Target:
$61.67
(+27.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 9:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FROG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ben Haim Shlomi
SELL
25363 shares
2026-03-06
Tali Notman
SELL
21097 shares
2026-03-05
Eduard Grabscheid
SELL
6063 shares
2026-03-03
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FROG price and gamma walls.
