FROG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FROG - JFrog Ltd. Ordinary Shares
$42.76
-0.58 (-1.33%)
▼
5d:
+0.28%
30d:
+6.5%
90d:
-36.11%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
FROG is down 3.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $50 2026-05-15 with 2,618 OI. Call ratio: 90% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FROG trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FROG trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.94
Based on 13.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.01
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FROG is currently trading at $42.76, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.96 to $44.98. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 39.0) compared to its historical average (56.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FROG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $41.00, while resistance sits at $49.10.
Market Sentiment: FROG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.65 (+62.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FROG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $41.00, while resistance sits at $49.10.
Market Sentiment: FROG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.65 (+62.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$38.96 -
$44.98
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 62.9% below Wall St target ($69.65)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$38.96 -
$44.98
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.00
Resistance Level
$49.10
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
39.04
Wall Street Target
$69.65
(+62.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.2%
Profit Margin
-13.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
39.0 vs 56.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.48
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$34.64
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$31.17
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 39→57)
$45.27
(+6%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 39.0, Growth: 21.9%)
$77.44
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 21.9%)
$44.33
(+4%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 21.9%)
$37.68
(-12%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 39.0 to 56.7
Stabilization Target:
$62.10
(+45.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+45.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 8:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FROG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ben Haim Shlomi
SELL
25363 shares
2026-03-06
Tali Notman
SELL
21097 shares
2026-03-05
Eduard Grabscheid
SELL
6063 shares
2026-03-03
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Advanced FROG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FROG price and gamma walls.
