FROG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FROG - JFrog Ltd. Ordinary Shares

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$54.80
-0.63 (-1.14%) ▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026 11d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FROG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.13
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.95
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FROG is currently trading at $54.80, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.19 to $64.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 62.7) is in line with its historical norms (69.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FROG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $53.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: FROG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.00 (+29.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $56.19 - $64.13
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 29.9% below Wall St target ($72.00)
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.2%) - monitor closely

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $56.19 - $64.13
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $53.38
Resistance Level $61.40
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 62.68
Wall Street Target $72.00 (+29.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 25.5%
Profit Margin -15.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 62.7 vs 69.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $53.66 (-3%)
2-Year Target $51.94 (-6%)
3-Year Target $50.28 (-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 63→69) $55.42 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 62.7, Growth: 11.6%) $77.10 (+39%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 11.6%) $27.43 (-51%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 11.6%) $23.31 (-58%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 62.7 to 69.1
Stabilization Target: $61.11 (+10.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +10.2%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:02 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
18
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Yvonne Wassenaar SELL 1372 shares 2025-10-20
Frederic Simon SELL 35000 shares 2025-10-14
Ben Haim Shlomi SELL 15000 shares 2025-10-07

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Advanced FROG Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FROG price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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