HUBS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HUBS - HUBSPOT, INC.
$205.28
13.02 (6.77%)
▲
5d:
-16.26%
30d:
-20.32%
90d:
-44.75%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
30d
Smart Money Accumulation
HUBS is down 7.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $350 2026-04-17 with 440 OI. Call ratio: 69% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HUBS is down 16.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HUBS is down 16.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$680.08
Based on 13.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$422.28
51.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HUBS is currently trading at $205.28, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $223.81 to $273.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.4) compared to its historical average (24.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 968.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $187.45, while resistance sits at $249.00. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: HUBS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $365.45 (+78.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $187.45, while resistance sits at $249.00. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: HUBS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $365.45 (+78.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$223.81 -
$273.61
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HUBS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 78.0% below Wall St target ($365.45)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -16.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$223.81 -
$273.61
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$187.45
Resistance Level
$249.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.44
Wall Street Target
$365.45
(+78.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
968.1%
Profit Margin
1.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-17.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 24.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-17.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$184.75
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$166.28
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$149.65
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→24)
$267.23
(+30%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 22.7%)
$579.75
(+182%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 22.7%)
$378.80
(+85%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 22.7%)
$321.98
(+57%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 15.43 | Forward EPS (Implied): $13.30
Bull Case
$247.88
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 16.2
Base Case
$205.28
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 15.4
Bear Case
$157.04
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.4 to 24.0
Stabilization Target:
$366.57
(+78.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+78.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 13, 2026 6:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HUBS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brian Halligan
SELL
8500 shares
2026-03-17
Brian Halligan
SELL
8261 shares
2026-02-17
Erika Ashley Fisher
SELL
841 shares
2026-02-04
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Advanced HUBS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HUBS price and gamma walls.
