HUBS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HUBS - HUBSPOT, INC.
$192.12
4.40 (2.34%)
▲
5d:
+12.83%
30d:
-20.0%
90d:
-20.87%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HUBS appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -14.8% annual earnings decline despite 968% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HUBS appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -14.8% annual earnings decline despite 968% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$532.45
Based on 11.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$330.61
41.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HUBS is currently trading at $192.12, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $175.27 to $218.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.3) compared to its historical average (19.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 968.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $194.18. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HUBS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $277.74 (+44.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $194.18. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HUBS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $277.74 (+44.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$175.27 -
$218.74
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 44.6% below Wall St target ($277.74)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$175.27 -
$218.74
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$169.63
Resistance Level
$194.18
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.30
Wall Street Target
$277.74
(+44.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
968.1%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 19.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$172.91
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$155.62
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$140.06
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→20)
$226.51
(+18%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 19.0%)
$573.77
(+199%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 19.0%)
$324.15
(+69%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 19.0%)
$275.53
(+43%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 14.62 | Forward EPS (Implied): $13.14
Bull Case
$231.98
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.4
Base Case
$192.12
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.6
Bear Case
$146.97
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.3 to 19.9
Stabilization Target:
$310.71
(+61.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+61.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 4:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HUBS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
8292 shares
2026-04-21
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SELL
8500 shares
2026-03-17
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8261 shares
2026-02-17
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Advanced HUBS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HUBS price and gamma walls.
