FSBW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSBW - FS Bancorp, Inc. Common Stock
$42.67
0.27 (0.64%)
▲
5d:
+4.35%
30d:
+6.6%
90d:
+11.44%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FSBW is fairly valued with market pricing in -0.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: FSBW is fairly valued with market pricing in -0.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.05
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSBW is currently trading at $42.67, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.79 to $41.70. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.3) is in line with its historical norms (8.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSBW is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $41.85. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FSBW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSBW is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $41.85. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FSBW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$39.79 -
$41.70
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($45.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.79 -
$41.70
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.00
Resistance Level
$41.85
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.32
Wall Street Target
$45.50
(+6.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Profit Margin
23.0%
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 8.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.67
(0%)
2-Year Target
$42.67
(0%)
3-Year Target
$42.67
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$42.58
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 13.8%)
$165.86
(+289%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 13.8%)
$62.94
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: 13.8%)
$53.50
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.30
Bull Case
$55.64
(+30%)
Analyst growth 19.3%, PE expands to 10.9
Base Case
$50.58
(+19%)
Market implied 19.3%, PE stable at 9.9
Bear Case
$28.83
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 7:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FSBW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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