FSUN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSUN - FirstSun Capital Bancorp Common Stock
$34.48
-0.74 (-2.10%)
▼
5d:
-7.01%
30d:
-10.26%
90d:
-12.02%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FSUN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FSUN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$77.05
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.84
27.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSUN is currently trading at $34.48, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.68 to $38.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.3) compared to its historical average (8.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSUN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.50 (+26.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSUN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.50 (+26.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$35.68 -
$38.44
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.2% below Wall St target ($43.50)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.0% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$35.68 -
$38.44
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.65
Resistance Level
$37.28
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.32
Wall Street Target
$43.50
(+26.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.5%
Profit Margin
23.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.3 vs 8.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.00
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$31.58
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$30.22
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$34.68
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 31.0%)
$233.77
(+578%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.3, Growth: 31.0%)
$77.54
(+125%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.2, Growth: 31.0%)
$65.91
(+91%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.40
Bull Case
$53.67
(+56%)
Analyst growth 38.5%, PE expands to 11.4
Base Case
$48.79
(+42%)
Market implied 38.5%, PE stable at 10.4
Bear Case
$23.95
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.3 to 8.4
Stabilization Target:
$39.56
(+14.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 6:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 AM
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Is FSUN showing a specific setup today?
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