FSV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSV - FirstService Corporation Common Shares
$145.74
2.68 (1.87%)
▲
5d:
+7.15%
30d:
+5.41%
90d:
+5.48%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FSV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FSV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$210.11
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$130.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSV is currently trading at $145.74, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $135.06 to $142.83. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.6) is in line with its historical norms (22.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 626.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSV is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $144.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FSV has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $188.50 (+29.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSV is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $144.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FSV has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $188.50 (+29.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$135.06 -
$142.83
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.3% below Wall St target ($188.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$135.06 -
$142.83
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$132.19
Resistance Level
$144.27
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.62
Wall Street Target
$188.50
(+29.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
626.4%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.6 vs 22.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$144.13
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$142.55
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$140.98
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→22)
$145.39
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.9%)
$194.91
(+34%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.6, Growth: 9.9%)
$193.51
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.4, Growth: 9.9%)
$164.48
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.55
Bull Case
$298.76
(+105%)
Analyst growth 89.9%, PE expands to 44.3
Base Case
$271.60
(+86%)
Market implied 89.9%, PE stable at 40.3
Bear Case
$97.28
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.6 to 22.3
Stabilization Target:
$150.30
(+3.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FSV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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