FSV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSV - FirstService Corporation Common Shares
$129.70
-0.21 (-0.16%)
▼
5d:
-3.61%
30d:
-13.02%
90d:
-16.13%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FSV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FSV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$216.36
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$134.34
3.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSV is currently trading at $129.70, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $131.73 to $148.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.2) compared to its historical average (22.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 626.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $124.37, while resistance sits at $142.53.
Market Sentiment: FSV has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $190.00 (+46.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $124.37, while resistance sits at $142.53.
Market Sentiment: FSV has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $190.00 (+46.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$131.73 -
$148.66
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 46.5% below Wall St target ($190.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$131.73 -
$148.66
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$124.37
Resistance Level
$142.53
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.24
Wall Street Target
$190.00
(+46.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
626.4%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.2 vs 22.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$122.31
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$115.34
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$108.76
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→23)
$129.48
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 10.0%)
$197.96
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.2, Growth: 10.0%)
$172.53
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.4, Growth: 10.0%)
$146.65
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.55
Bull Case
$272.22
(+110%)
Analyst growth 89.9%, PE expands to 40.4
Base Case
$247.47
(+91%)
Market implied 89.9%, PE stable at 36.7
Bear Case
$88.60
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.2 to 22.9
Stabilization Target:
$154.41
(+19.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 4:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FSV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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