FTDR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FTDR - Frontdoor, Inc. Common Stock
$54.52
1.66 (3.14%)
▲
5d:
-5.58%
30d:
-21.11%
90d:
-6.56%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
Get Alerted When FTDR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FTDR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FTDR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$95.30
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.18
7.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FTDR is currently trading at $54.52, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $55.66 to $66.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.0) compared to its historical average (13.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTDR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $50.91, while resistance sits at $60.81. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.40 (+34.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTDR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $50.91, while resistance sits at $60.81. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.40 (+34.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$55.66 -
$66.42
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 34.6% below Wall St target ($73.40)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.6% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$55.66 -
$66.42
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$50.91
Resistance Level
$60.81
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.00
Wall Street Target
$73.40
(+34.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-84.0%
Profit Margin
12.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 13.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.87
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$47.46
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$44.28
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→14)
$54.36
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 10.7%)
$150.46
(+176%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 10.7%)
$74.03
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 10.7%)
$62.92
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.42
Bull Case
$91.12
(+55%)
Analyst growth 45.0%, PE expands to 18.4
Base Case
$82.83
(+41%)
Market implied 45.0%, PE stable at 16.7
Bear Case
$38.86
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.0 to 13.5
Stabilization Target:
$66.93
(+22.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:18 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is FTDR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Personal Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Personal Services by analyst ratings.
