GBCI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GBCI - Glacier Bancorp Inc
$45.56
-0.90 (-1.94%)
▼
5d:
-6.62%
30d:
-4.12%
90d:
-11.17%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GBCI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GBCI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$77.77
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.29
5.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GBCI is currently trading at $45.56, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.39 to $49.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.5) is in line with its historical norms (13.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 31.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GBCI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $45.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.50 (+24.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GBCI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $45.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.50 (+24.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$47.39 -
$49.31
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.0% below Wall St target ($56.50)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.6% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.39 -
$49.31
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.56
Resistance Level
$50.15
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.49
Wall Street Target
$56.50
(+24.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
39.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.3%
Profit Margin
25.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 13.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.42
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$43.31
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$42.23
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$45.63
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 15.3%)
$123.31
(+171%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 15.3%)
$69.80
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 15.3%)
$59.33
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.14
Bull Case
$87.09
(+91%)
Analyst growth 70.4%, PE expands to 23.9
Base Case
$79.17
(+74%)
Market implied 70.4%, PE stable at 21.7
Bear Case
$31.59
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.5 to 13.5
Stabilization Target:
$49.23
(+8.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 2:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GBCI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ryan Thomas Screnar
BUY
187 shares
2026-02-23
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-01-15
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