GBTG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GBTG - Global Business Travel Group, Inc.
$6.85
-0.15 (-2.14%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
26d
Get Alerted When GBTG Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GBTG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GBTG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.21
Based on -3.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.86
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GBTG is currently trading at $6.85, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.22 to $8.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.4) is in line with its historical norms (17.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GBTG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.55, while resistance sits at $7.81.
Market Sentiment: GBTG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.86 (+55.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GBTG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.55, while resistance sits at $7.81.
Market Sentiment: GBTG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.86 (+55.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$7.22 -
$8.04
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GBTG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 55.1% below Wall St target ($10.86)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.6%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$7.22 -
$8.04
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.55
Resistance Level
$7.81
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.36
Wall Street Target
$10.86
(+55.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.7%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.4 vs 17.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.90
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$6.79
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$6.69
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$6.99
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -10.2%)
$6.96
(+-1%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: -10.2%)
$5.10
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: -10.2%)
$4.34
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 10.91 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.64
Bull Case
$8.45
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 11.5
Base Case
$7.00
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.9
Bear Case
$5.35
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.4 to 17.1
Stabilization Target:
$7.32
(+4.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.5%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:38 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GBTG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Travel Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Travel Services by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TCOM
Trip.com Group Ltd ADR |
STRONG BUY
33 analysts |
$87 | 57 HOLD |
|
CCL
Carnival Corporation |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$38 | 62 BUY |
|
BKNG
Booking Holdings Inc |
BUY
39 analysts |
$6221 | 60 HOLD |
|
RCL
Royal Caribbean Cruises … |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$332 | 62 BUY |
|
EXPE
Expedia Group Inc. |
HOLD
37 analysts |
$288 | 55 HOLD |
Advanced GBTG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GBTG price and gamma walls.
