GBX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GBX - The Greenbrier Companies, Inc.
$52.89
0.74 (1.42%)
▲
5d:
+9.37%
30d:
+0.28%
90d:
+10.51%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 13, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GBX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GBX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$87.90
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.58
3.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GBX is currently trading at $52.89, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.22 to $54.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.0) compared to its historical average (11.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GBX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $53.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GBX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $44.67. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GBX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $53.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GBX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $44.67. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$50.22 -
$54.83
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 15.5% above Wall St target ($44.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.4% growth with -22.9% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$50.22 -
$54.83
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.54
Resistance Level
$53.96
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.01
Wall Street Target
$44.67
(-15.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-22.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-69.9%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.4% premium
PE vs Historical
13.0 vs 11.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$55.75
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$58.76
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$61.93
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$52.86
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 29.1%)
$180.00
(+240%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: 29.1%)
$113.81
(+115%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 29.1%)
$96.74
(+83%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.69
Bull Case
$49.74
(-6%)
Analyst growth -13.3%, PE expands to 12.2
Base Case
$45.22
(-15%)
Market implied -13.3%, PE stable at 11.1
Bear Case
$35.46
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 13, 2026 7:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GBX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
William J Krueger
SELL
6000 shares
2026-01-30
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