GECC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GECC - Great Elm Capital. Corp. Common Stock
$7.02
0.01 (0.14%)
▲
5d:
-1.96%
30d:
-0.35%
90d:
-8.12%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Mar 09, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GECC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GECC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.23
Based on -4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.25
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GECC is currently trading at $7.02, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.89 to $7.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.7) is in line with its historical norms (5.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GECC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GECC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+28.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GECC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GECC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+28.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$6.89 -
$7.18
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.2% below Wall St target ($9.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.0% growth with -9.3% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$6.89 -
$7.18
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.93
Resistance Level
$7.34
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.66
Wall Street Target
$9.00
(+28.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-68.6%
Profit Margin
-17.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
5.7 vs 5.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.09
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$7.16
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$7.23
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$7.03
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -13.9%)
$20.16
(+187%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.7, Growth: -13.9%)
$5.12
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.8, Growth: -13.9%)
$4.35
(-38%)
Last updated: February 03, 2026 1:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GECC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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