GEL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GEL - Genesis Energy, L.P.
$16.61
-0.70 (-4.04%)
ā¼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
ā BUY SIGNAL: GEL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
ā BUY SIGNAL: GEL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.38
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.90
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GEL is currently trading at $16.61, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.67 to $16.96. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.7) is in line with its historical norms (13.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GEL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $16.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: GEL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.33 (+16.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GEL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $16.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: GEL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.33 (+16.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$15.67 -
$16.96
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
41th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 41th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($19.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$15.67 -
$16.96
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
Ā±$0.84
(5.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.28
Resistance Level
$17.60
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.73
Wall Street Target
$19.33
(+16.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
58.6%
Profit Margin
-17.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 13.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.83
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$17.04
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$17.27
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14ā13)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.60
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Last updated: January 31, 2026 9:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GEL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced GEL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GEL price and gamma walls.
