GEL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GEL - Genesis Energy, L.P.
$17.62
-0.17 (-0.93%)
▼
5d:
-0.48%
30d:
-2.46%
90d:
+12.99%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
Get Alerted When GEL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GEL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GEL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.31
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.20
3.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GEL is currently trading at $17.61, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.61 to $18.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.6) compared to its historical average (14.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GEL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GEL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$17.61 -
$18.14
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($19.33)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.8% growth which is achievable
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$17.61 -
$18.14
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.78
(4.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.19
Resistance Level
$18.34
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.60
Wall Street Target
$19.33
(+8.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
58.6%
Profit Margin
-27.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.8% premium
PE vs Historical
17.6 vs 14.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.81
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$19.90
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$21.06
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.82
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 27.8%)
$47.28
(+166%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.6, Growth: 27.8%)
$37.15
(+109%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.9, Growth: 27.8%)
$31.45
(+77%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 3:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:25 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GEL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Oil & Gas Midstream Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas Midstream by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
LNG
Cheniere Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$276 | 64 BUY |
|
TRGP
Targa Resources Inc |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$248 | 58 HOLD |
|
ET
Energy Transfer LP |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$22 | 64 BUY |
|
TRP
TC Energy Corp |
BUY
23 analysts |
$57 | 59 HOLD |
|
VNOM
Viper Energy Ut |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$53 | 59 HOLD |
