GHC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GHC - GRAHAM HOLDINGS COMPANY
$1166.63
10.17 (0.88%)
▲
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GHC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GHC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2236.35
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1388.59
16.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GHC is currently trading at $1166.63, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1109.29 to $1166.15. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.8) is in line with its historical norms (16.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GHC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $1119.35, while resistance sits at $1224.76.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $995.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GHC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $1119.35, while resistance sits at $1224.76.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $995.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$1109.29 -
$1166.15
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
42.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GHC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 14.7% above Wall St target ($995.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$1109.29 -
$1166.15
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1119.35
Resistance Level
$1224.76
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.76
Wall Street Target
$995.00
(-14.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
69.9%
Profit Margin
14.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 16.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1173.63
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$1180.67
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$1187.76
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$1169.20
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 35.7%)
$3878.32
(+232%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 35.7%)
$2915.16
(+150%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: 35.7%)
$2477.89
(+112%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $165.63
Bull Case
$628.68
(-46%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 7.6
Base Case
$571.53
(-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 6.9
Bear Case
$777.28
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 7:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GHC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced GHC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GHC price and gamma walls.
