GHC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GHC - GRAHAM HOLDINGS COMPANY
$1050.56
-19.60 (-1.83%)
▼
5d:
+1.32%
30d:
-1.36%
90d:
-5.46%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GHC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GHC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1033.41
Based on -0.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$641.67
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GHC is currently trading at $1050.56, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1049.68 to $1075.08. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.9) is in line with its historical norms (16.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GHC is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $1035.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GHC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GHC is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $1035.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GHC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$1049.68 -
$1075.08
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($995.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$1049.68 -
$1075.08
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1035.26
Resistance Level
$1091.86
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.95
Wall Street Target
$995.00
(-5.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-80.1%
Profit Margin
5.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.0 vs 16.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1044.26
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$1037.99
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$1031.76
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
$1054.15
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: -5.4%)
$1249.23
(+19%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.0, Growth: -5.4%)
$889.73
(-15%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.6, Growth: -5.4%)
$756.27
(-28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $66.46
Bull Case
$1130.09
(+6%)
Analyst growth -0.9%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$1027.35
(-3%)
Market implied -0.9%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$705.07
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.0 to 16.3
Stabilization Target:
$1073.36
(+2.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 8:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GHC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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