GIFI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GIFI - Gulf Island Fabrication Inc
$12.00
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 16, 2026
Earnings: Mar 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GIFI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GIFI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.20
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.44
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GIFI is currently trading at $12.00, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.94 to $11.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 30.8) is in line with its historical norms (30.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GIFI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $8.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GIFI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $8.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$11.94 -
$11.98
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.4%
Protect Your Profits
GIFI is technically overbought (RSI 82). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 33.3% above Wall St target ($8.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.7% growth with -9.0% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$11.94 -
$11.98
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.59
(5.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.94
Resistance Level
$12.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.77
Wall Street Target
$8.00
(-33.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-37.8%
Profit Margin
6.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
30.8 vs 30.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.08
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$12.17
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$12.25
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→30)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.99
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.8, Growth: 14.7%)
$18.11
(+51%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 14.7%)
$13.16
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 14.7%)
$11.18
(-7%)
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GIFI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced GIFI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GIFI price and gamma walls.
