GIII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GIII - G-Iii Apparel Group Ltd
$27.29
0.74 (2.79%)
▲
5d:
+0.26%
30d:
-10.79%
90d:
-10.29%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GIII shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GIII shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.15
Based on 2.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.72
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GIII is currently trading at $27.29, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.63 to $30.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.1) is in line with its historical norms (9.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GIII is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $27.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GIII has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.00 (+16.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GIII is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $27.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GIII has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.00 (+16.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$26.63 -
$30.82
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($31.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$26.63 -
$30.82
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.97
(7.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.56
Resistance Level
$27.88
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.06
Wall Street Target
$31.00
(+16.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-27.8%
Profit Margin
2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 9.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.52
(0%)
2-Year Target
$26.50
(0%)
3-Year Target
$26.47
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$26.58
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 1.0%)
$67.66
(+155%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 1.0%)
$27.37
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 1.0%)
$23.27
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.51
Bull Case
$56.85
(+109%)
Analyst growth 94.0%, PE expands to 19.4
Base Case
$51.68
(+90%)
Market implied 94.0%, PE stable at 17.6
Bear Case
$18.12
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 9.1
Stabilization Target:
$26.66
(+0.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 12:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GIII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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