PVH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PVH - PVH Corp.
$75.23
-0.57 (-0.75%)
▼
5d:
+4.47%
30d:
-22.61%
90d:
-1.74%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PVH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PVH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$103.60
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.33
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PVH is currently trading at $75.23, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.29 to $90.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.3) is in line with its historical norms (6.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PVH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $69.00, while resistance sits at $100.75.
Market Sentiment: PVH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (2th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $90.67 (+20.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PVH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $69.00, while resistance sits at $100.75.
Market Sentiment: PVH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (2th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $90.67 (+20.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$73.29 -
$90.53
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
2th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 2th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.5% below Wall St target ($90.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$73.29 -
$90.53
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.57
(6.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$69.00
Resistance Level
$100.75
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.33
Wall Street Target
$90.67
(+20.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-96.2%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.3 vs 6.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$75.08
(0%)
2-Year Target
$74.93
(0%)
3-Year Target
$74.78
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→6)
$75.57
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.8%)
$333.55
(+343%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.3, Growth: 8.8%)
$96.99
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.4, Growth: 8.8%)
$82.44
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.30
Bull Case
$166.76
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 25.3
Base Case
$151.60
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 23.0
Bear Case
$51.54
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.3 to 6.4
Stabilization Target:
$76.02
(+1.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 6:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PVH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced PVH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PVH price and gamma walls.